Democrats Gain Edge as Trump Drags Down G.O.P., New Poll Finds

Hume

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With fewer than 50 days until the midterms, Democrats have developed a clear advantage over Republicans as the president has lost the public’s trust on the economy, according to a new national poll from The New York Times and Siena University.

 
Even some Republicans are losing faith in Trump’s economy, a New York Times/Siena poll found, and Democrats were favored on the top issues as the sprint to the midterms gets underway.
 
With fewer than 50 days until the midterms, Democrats have developed a clear advantage over Republicans as the president has lost the public’s trust on the economy, according to a new national poll from The New York Times and Siena University.


Trump urges midterm voters to act as if he is on ballot​

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/6055367-trump-midterm-republican-voters-pretend-ballot/
^^^ Trumps narcissism and inability to see how unpopular he is, is the Democrats dream.

Historically POTUS try to lay low in most midterms where the electorate is looking for some change and check and balance on the Executive. Trump demanding to be out front shows how delusional he is.
 

Trump urges midterm voters to act as if he is on ballot​

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/6055367-trump-midterm-republican-voters-pretend-ballot/
^^^ Trumps narcissism and inability to see how unpopular he is, is the Democrats dream.

Historically POTUS try to lay low in most midterms where the electorate is looking for some change and check and balance on the Executive. Trump demanding to be out front shows how delusional he is.
I hope Democrats are tired of Trump fascism and vote to take over Congress.
 
With fewer than 50 days until the midterms, Democrats have developed a clear advantage over Republicans as the president has lost the public’s trust on the economy, according to a new national poll from The New York Times and Siena University.

According to a new national poll from The New York Times and Siena University.
 
With fewer than 50 days until the midterms, Democrats have developed a clear advantage over Republicans as the president has lost the public’s trust on the economy, according to a new national poll from The New York Times and Siena University.

Polls.
I got one for ya. 😆theysaid2.jpg
 
Historically POTUS try to lay low in most midterms where the electorate is looking for some change and check and balance on the Executive.

Is that so?

Do presidents “lay low”?​


This is overstated.


For the first ~150 years, presidents generally avoided public campaigning even for themselves; it was seen as undignified.


Systematic presidential midterm campaigning is largely a post-WWII development, beginning in earnest with Eisenhower in 1954 and expanding since then.


Modern presidents routinely fundraise and appear for co-partisans. Obama in 2010 and 2014, Bush in 2006, and Biden in 2022 all held limited public rallies in swing areas for that reason.


So presidents do not historically “try to lay low in most midterms.” They stayed out of midterms for most of U.S. history because the practice itself was uncommon.
 
Ate you kidding?


This is not a scholarly diagnostic. It is a 2003 magazine list that escaped containment.


Laurence W. Britt was a retired businessman and novelist, not a political scientist who “studied the fascist regimes.” Free Inquiry published an opinion piece called “Fascism Anyone?” He looked at Hitler, Mussolini, Franco, Salazar, the Greek colonels, Pinochet, and Suharto and extracted fourteen overlapping habits. The internet then promoted him to “Dr.” and treated the bullet points as if they were the DSM for governments.


The regimes themselves are a grab bag. Mussolini and Hitler are the actual fascists. Franco was a Catholic-military traditionalist who won a civil war and then lasted four decades by being boring and repressive rather than revolutionary. Pinochet and Suharto were anti-communist military dictators who ran market-oriented authoritarian states; calling them fascist mainly tells you the author wanted more names on the list. Mixing them together produces traits that describe authoritarianism, not a specific interwar ideology with blackshirts, corporatist syndicates, and a myth of national rebirth.


The list is mostly generic​


  • Powerful nationalism, flags, slogans: every nation-state that survived the 20th century.
  • Scapegoats and enemies: every mass-mobilizing regime and most election campaigns.
  • Military spending and soldier-glorification: the United States, Israel, France, China, Russia, and half the UN.
  • Sexism and traditional gender roles: the majority of human history plus a large share of current electorates.
  • Media influence or regulation: every government that has ever existed.
  • National-security rhetoric: every country that has enemies or pretends it does.
  • Religion used by politicians: the United States, India, Poland, Iran, Israel, and most of Latin America.
  • Corporate-government closeness: every mixed economy.
  • Weak labor: every developing-country dictatorship and quite a few democracies.
  • Suspicion of intellectuals: every populist movement and every revolutionary one.
  • Tough-on-crime politics: voters like it.
  • Cronyism and corruption: the human default.
  • Messy or manipulated elections: too many countries to count.

You can score high on this checklist and still be a social democracy, a developmental authoritarian state, a wartime republic, or just a normal country having a bad decade. That is why the same list has been waved at Bush, Obama, Trump, Modi, Orbán, Netanyahu, and whoever is currently inconvenient. It is a Rorschach test with footnotes.


Serious work on fascism (Paxton, Griffin, Mosse, Payne, Eco’s “Ur-Fascism” essay) treats it as a specific revolutionary, anti-liberal, anti-Marxist, palingenetic nationalist movement that tried to create a new man and a new order, not “any government that likes flags and dislikes its opponents.” Britt’s list flattens that into “things I dislike about power.”


The page itself even notes it was based on an earlier internet article. It is folk taxonomy that got a magazine byline, then a second life as a meme. Useful as a conversation-starter about authoritarianism. Useless as a definition of fascism.
 
Powerful and Continuing Nationalism
Fascist regimes tend to make constant use of patriotic mottos, slogans, symbols, songs, and other paraphernalia. Flags are seen everywhere, as are flag symbols on clothing and in public displays.
 
Supremacy of the Military
Even when there are widespread domestic problems, the military is given a disproportionate amount of government funding, and the domestic agenda is neglected. Soldiers and military service are glamorized.
 
Powerful and Continuing Nationalism
Fascist regimes tend to make constant use of patriotic mottos, slogans, symbols, songs, and other paraphernalia. Flags are seen everywhere, as are flag symbols on clothing and in public displays.
Supremacy of the Military
Even when there are widespread domestic problems, the military is given a disproportionate amount of government funding, and the domestic agenda is neglected. Soldiers and military service are glamorized.

Hume’s latest contribution is copying the first two bullets from a 2003 Free Inquiry magazine list written by a retired businessman/novelist, then treating them like a lab result.


“Powerful and Continuing Nationalism”

Flags, slogans, songs. That is the diagnostic. By this standard every Fourth of July, every Super Bowl flyover, every “USA! USA!” chant at a hockey game, and every president who ever stood in front of a flag is running a blackshirt operation. The same checklist has been waved at Bush, Obama, and whoever is currently inconvenient. It is not a definition of fascism. It is a description of having a country.


“Supremacy of the Military”

Disproportionate funding and glamorizing soldiers. The United States has the largest military budget on earth because it also has the largest set of global commitments, two oceans, and a Congress that likes defense contractors in its districts. That has been true under every administration since Truman. If “soldiers are glamorized” is the tell, then Memorial Day is a Nuremberg rally and the NFL’s flyovers are the March on Rome.


Fascism, as actual historians use the term (Paxton, Griffin, Payne, Mosse), was a specific revolutionary, anti-liberal, anti-Marxist, palingenetic movement that tried to forge a new man and a new order through a mass party, corporatist syndicates, and street violence. It is not “likes flags and funds the Pentagon.” Britt’s list flattens that into “things I dislike about power.” That is why it travels so well: it is a Rorschach test with footnotes.


Hume’s method is: find a generic trait that exists in every nation-state that survived the 20th century, declare it uniquely fascist when the other side does it, and hope no one notices the list was already dismantled two posts earlier. That is not analysis. That is slogan recycling with extra steps.
 
Supremacy of the Military
Even when there are widespread domestic problems, the military is given a disproportionate amount of government funding, and the domestic agenda is neglected. Soldiers and military service are glamorized.
And we have only a failed campaign in Iraq to show for it.

That should be Iran, mixing up my failed campaigns.
 
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