Tracking TS Dorian

Looks like Dorian will be getting really comfy sitting on Abaco and Freeport for about
24 full hours, Sun. morning till Mon. morning as a Cat 4. Good luck to them!
Also, appears that she will turn N sooner which will keep keep her further off our
coast. YAAAAY!!! Hopefully, it will still look like that tomorrow night at which time
I'll feel easier about finally exhaling.
 
Stretch said:
Looks like Dorian will be getting really comfy sitting on Abaco and Freeport for about
24 full hours, Sun. morning till Mon. morning as a Cat 4. Good luck to them!
Also, appears that she will turn N sooner which will keep keep her further off our
coast. YAAAAY!!! Hopefully, it will still look like that tomorrow night at which time
I'll feel easier about finally exhaling.
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I still have a reservation at the Ritz! lol
 
dukkha said:
I still have a reservation at the Ritz! lol
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Yup. Can't blame you. This projection DOES look golden though.
There's nothing there that shows me this thing will do anything but head N
after exiting the Bahamas. The worst would be that she would just make
her way N skirting the coastline (the way it looked yesterday). But, now it
looks like she'll be further off the coast.

If there would be any drastic change, it would be seen by Mon. morning after
exiting Bahamas. :good4u:
 
I may as well throw my model out there! I am not a weatherman, but here goes......

The hurricane's eye will skirt offshore up the Florida coast, and when it reaches Georgia, it bounces back out to sea- sparing the United States!

But, if you live anywhere in Florida, this would be a great time to get some plane tickets and take the family and the pets on vacation somewhere inland!
 
Gonzomin said:
My son is in Charleston. They have not started evacuation yet. They all thought it was hitting Florida.
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Yeah...I've shown it heading up to SC and beyond for a few days now.
Right now it looks like Dorian will arrive just E of Charleston by Wed. 2pm.
 
More to watch.
There are competing HP areas; one from the W and one from the E. they are each moving towards each other above the space between Dorian and the U.S. coast.
They will be forcing Dorian to almost stall for that long period over Abaco and Grand Bahama.
There's a small LP area in between the two HP areas which will want to pull her N.

Here comes the question...again. Is EURO correct or is GFS correct?
Euro shows her taking a harder turn N further from out coast. They feel the LP area is weak enough to let that happen.
GFS believes the LP is a bit stronger, keeping her down and permit her to be forced more towards our coast prior to turning N.

Stay tuned...:whome:
 
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Well, this is cool......Bryan Norcross has put up a continuous LIVE FEED from WPLG Miami.
Norcross was the guy who stayed on the air by radio for 2 straight days, no sleep during Andrew
and really helped us all going through that. They're getting good footage from Bahamas.

[video]https://www.local10.com/weather/hurricane/hurricane-dorian-9-1-19[/video]
 
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Stretch said:
Yeah...I've shown it heading up to SC and beyond for a few days now.
Right now it looks like Dorian will arrive just E of Charleston by Wed. 2pm.
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He has a chance to be inside the eye of a hurricane for the second time in his life. We were in one in Homestead about 20 years ago. We were headed to Key West and were told it was going to get hit, so we stayed in a motel in Homestead. It turned and went straight over our heads.
 
Gonzomin said:
He has a chance to be inside the eye of a hurricane for the second time in his life. We were in one in Homestead about 20 years ago. We were headed to Key West and were told it was going to get hit, so we stayed in a motel in Homestead. It turned and went straight over our heads.
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Yep. I went through Andrew as well.
 
Any time you have a so-called act of God (not my words) or an act of nature (my words exactly) and it is coming your way, you can always hope for the best- but you better damn well prepare for the very worst!

I'm hopeful that the damn thing will skirt up the coast and turn back to the open sea without doing major harm to the Eastern coast.

But that was more of a feeling I had when it was only a cat 4! Now with a Cat 5 status, a Cat 5 hurricane is less predictable and is not as likely to just take the path of least resistance, because basically there is nothing that can resist a Cat 5 Hurricane! In other words, some weak front is unlikely to have much effect on it's trajectory! Not much anything known can change the trajectory of a Cat 5 Hurricane.

So if you live anywhere on the East Coast- you may want to prepare for the very worst! Even Washington DC is not out harms way! So Mr. President get your paper towels ready!

This thing could skirt all the way up the Eastern Seaboard- nipping at all of the populous areas!
 
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dukkha said:
^ I think I should book a room again!
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hahahahahaha!!!! You'll be OK. ;) See the decrease of intensity as it passes outside of Florida?
Neither model shows the eye coming onshore. She'll be to the E of us; we just don't know how far.
We should know better by Monday morning. Can't hurt to keep your reservation though as it's always
better to be safe than sorry. Currently there should be TS force winds inland in your area and mine
as she pushes N.

Keep you eye on this LIVE FEED from WPLG in Miami. I trust them more than any other for hurricane coverage,
mainly because they have Bryan Norcross.


https://www.local10.com/weather/hurricane/hurricane-dorian-9-1-19
 
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