Indeed it does. I am very bright. You say a lot of inarticulate stuff.
My writing is calculated to sift out the liars and the dummies.
Which is why cost estimates almost never turn out to be in the neighborhood of right.....
Estimates are hard to do, not because the math is hard, but because the inputs are hard. That being said, they actually often get it very right.
There is an interesting point here, which I am sure you are missing. Companies in collapse are not filling out government surveys. The data collection is falling apart with the economy in many other ways. It is almost certainly far worse than the current statistics show. But the math for annualizing the number is also certainly done correctly.
You are just really off. First is a compounded, so your dividing by 4 is just plain wrong. Second it is negative, so you need to start from 1. I am going to use the carrot(^) to express exponential, and show you the equation.
1-((1-.329)^(1/4))=9.5%
or
1-((1-.095)^4)=32.9%
The government got the math right... And you got the math wrong. There is no 8.225% involved.
. The U.S. economy shrank 9.5 percent
. German economy shrinks by record 10.1% in Q2
. Singapore economy shrinks over 40% in Q2, confirming recession
. France sees economy shrinking 17% in Q2
such crap. once the guides were published the governors did the shutdowns -not Trump
Trump followed Fauci's advice -ruined the "best economy ever"and here we are.
Then they blame Trump for ruining the economy...TDS
I find it interesting that our GDP decline is three times Germanys.
?
U.S. GDP decline 9.5%
Germany GDP decline 10.1%.
You're making the same mistake Floridafan did in equating annualized with a quarter .
https://www.npr.org/sections/corona...onths-of-hell-u-s-economys-worst-quarter-ever3 Months Of Hell: U.S. Economy Drops 32.9% In Worst GDP Report Ever
Check this out,
The US economy contracted at a 32.9% annual rate from April through June, its worst
US economy posts its worst drop on record
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/economy/us-economy-2020-second-quarter/index.html

Compared to France, UK, Singapore and Germany, this is actually better.
https://www.bing.com/search?q=frenc...94BCF14A99B89618F6AE04B799&first=10&FORM=PERE
That's annualized.
lol, Prob Bangladesh & Zimbabwe also, so what??
How did China do??
ASEAN??
I threw Singapore in there because it came up in my Bing search. But really. You compare Singapore with Bangladesh and Zim???? Ever been there? It's one of the wealthiest, cleanest and most civilized countries per capita in the world.
They effing cane you for littering.

Go to my link. The Bing search didn't mention it.Gee, I wonder why....![]()
Go to my link. The Bing search didn't mention it.
Go to my link, it did...post #93

Nope. I agreed with the 32.9%. floridafan fucked it up. She thinks 32.9% was the decrease for the qtr. when it was actually 9.5% Moot point actually. It's still better than the Euros and Singapore.