Deep Level Analysis - Trump is going to lose

Michael_Panetta said:
I live in PA. In 2016, I saw many, many Trump signs. Now I see almost NONE. I have a few family members who supported Trump last time and are now considering either Biden or staying home on election night.

So don't get too cocky about PA going to Trump again.
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BRUTALITOPS said:
Because democrats are retards with reading and following simple instructions, post-election night we'll prob end up with a bush v gore scenario where democrats keep "finding" ballots and wanting some to count and not others and we'll have to shut down their shenanigans, they will cry. This is the likely scenario we will see if trump wins.
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Never understood the Conservative position of not counting all the votes.

Don't you want more votes?
 
BRUTALITOPS said:
it's pretty funny you are posting a video like this with nate silver when around the 1st minute mark he spells out exactly the argument against what you are trying to suggest. Namely, 25% is a very high chance of probability and of trump still winning.
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So what happens if/when Trump loses?

Do you just delete this account to try and erase all the dumb shit you said and predicted?
 
BRUTALITOPS said:
The democratic propaganda machine really works on the sheep.

Biden is leading too many polls in too many swing states, and this year we have a much small number of undecided voters which means far less variance than in 2016 with regards to polling.

There are 4 things that still help trump:

1) low educated white voters registration is up astronomically in PA. I believe last I saw it was up 50%, and this group is notoriously unrepresented in polling data. Democrat registration is down in states like florida.

2) General silent trump voter. We dont listen or engage with fake news and thus sampling might be skewed

3) enthusiasm gap. People are more enthusiastic to vote FOR trump and it's clear by just looking at his rallies and how happy trump supporters are to support him.

4) democrats are retards and can't follow simple instructions. They will screw up mail in voting because they can't read or put their vote in the proper envelope. I saw a NYT article recently saying possibly millions of democrat votes may be deemed ineligible. This imo is the most likely scenario and is why democrats are starting to sow the seeds of trump "stealing the election." Trump's total of people that vote in person on election day will be around 60-65% to bidens 30%. The vast majority of biden votes will be by mail. You can see this now with the biden camp freaking out and urging the democrat pussies to go to the polls live now because they know their voters are too dumb to check a box on a piece of paper and mail it in. So this helps trump as well.

Trump still has a very viable chance to win. He's around 25% right now according to nate silver, which is still a very likely outcome. That said, it's not looking good. Thankfully us owning the supreme court for the next 20 years will slow down democrat hegemony. No regrets.

I would love to be wrong about the above though
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So the polls, even those like the Razzy, are all part of the “Democratic propaganda machine?”

Trump has several big advantages;

He is the incumbent, incumbent seldom lose, sounds trivial, but is history

As we are seeing now, Trump will do anything to win, he either already has or will mobilize every possible element of the Federal Gov’t he can to help him in his efforts, legal and illegal

And third, said it before, and we have already seen it, Trump will enlist for help as many foreign entities in his campaign as he can, and why not, they know billy barr ain’t going to do anything, Russia got away with it in 2016, and there is a strong possibility that if they were caught a major political party and news network would ignore it or even defend them
 
LV426 said:
So what happens if/when Trump loses?

Do you just delete this account to try and erase all the dumb shit you said and predicted?
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So what happens if/when Trump WINS?

Do you just delete this account to try and erase all the dumb shit you said and predicted?

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archives said:
As we are seeing now, Trump will do anything to win, he either already has or will mobilize every possible element of the Federal Gov’t he can to help him in his efforts, legal and illegal
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I don't think you can post without lying and looking like a dumbass.

archives said:
Trump will enlist for help as many foreign entities in his campaign as he can, and why not, they know billy barr ain’t going to do anything, Russia got away with it in 2016, and there is a strong possibility that if they were caught a major political party and news network would ignore it or even defend them
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I don't think you can post without lying and looking like a dumbass.

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it's important more conservative posters on this site understand the stakes of this election and how bad of shape trump is actually in. Go find someone that isn't planning on voting and bring them to the polls. We need every voter to defeat communism.
 
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