Iran War Watch

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NEW: Jeremy Scahill reported this morning that Iranian officials say the U.S. has accepted Iran’s red lines in the latest revisions to the ceasefire declaration, but is asking for time to “manage domestic public opinion” before formally announcing acceptance of the interim agreement.Dr. Foad Izadi of the University of Tehran says Iran will want proof Washington is serious about ending the war, including the release of frozen Iranian assets and an end to Israel’s attacks on Lebanon.“If the U.S. cannot give the money that belongs to Iran back to Iran, and the U.S. cannot put a leash on Netanyahu and stop him from going on a rampage in Lebanon, then it shows that this conflict has not ended,” Izadi says.“This is a test for Iran to see what’s going on with the other side.
 
Brian Berletic

@BrianJBerletic


/IRAN - US Continues Bombing Iran Amid "Ceasefire" and "Peace Talks" The Western media continues to portray US-Iranian talks as a means for US President Donald Trump to end the war many portray as a "failure" even as the US continues striking Iran amid a "ceasefire." But the US wanting to end the war is a false assumption.The US goals are:1. Continue weakening Iran but without triggering wider, unsustainable hostilities;2. Continue decreasing Middle East energy exports to Asia, including China by maintaining constant instability and threat of wider war;3. All while preventing a rapid global economic collapse and instead using the crisis to incrementally impose dependence on US energy exports onto Asia just as the US did to Europe;The worst part about Western reports regarding supposed US "diplomacy" is that the last 26 years alone of US aggression against Iran prove the US uses diplomacy only to further war on its own terms, not to avoid or end it. The US is currently managing similar balancing acts of hostility just below the threshold of all out direct war with both Russia and China.
 
Ebrahim Azizi, head of Iran's parliamentary National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, on the state of the US negotiations:"Right now, the only thing we're seeing is the wavering and instability of the Americans, and the bewilderment of the American president, who has reached a dead end. The whole world is seeing that he has no path other than submitting to the will of the Iranian nation. If someone wants to get out of this dead end, they must also have the power of decision-making — and what we are observing is the Americans' lack of it."

View: https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/2060116373695799439
 
https://x.com/DanielLDavis1

This is the physical manifestation of what I have been warning about for many months: the president blatantly lies to our face and pretends that we are close to a deal, that Iran “has all been agreed to“ terms that President Trump wants, yet it was a lie from the beginning, and we are nowhere near a negotiated settlement w Iran on terms that we find acceptable.Because there *are no such terms* we can find acceptable that Iran will agree to.The longer we go on with the fiction, the longer we wait to take the “ugly deal“ I have been advocating for many weeks, the closer we get to the cliff, at which point even President Trump‘s best lies will not work and we are going to pay a significant economic price even here at home.

View: https://x.com/DanielLDavis1/status/2060145326942531700
 

Gandalv

@Microinteracti1



Exxon Says We’re Two Weeks From Petrol ArmageddonRight. So it turns out closing the world’s most important oil chokepoint has consequences. Who knew.Exxon’s Senior VP Neil Chapman stood up at a Bernstein conference this week and said what everyone in the industry is thinking but politely avoiding at dinner parties: global oil inventories are approaching “truly unprecedented” lows. His words. And when a Senior VP at Exxon starts using phrases like “truly unprecedented,” you should probably pay attention.The IEA has already called Iran’s Strait of Hormuz blockade the largest oil supply disruption in recorded history. Over a billion barrels lost since late February. A billion. That’s not a rounding error. That’s a civilisational inconvenience.Chapman’s estimate: Brent crude hits $150 to $160 per barrel once stockpiles reach critical levels. Two to three weeks away. Wood Mackenzie, never a firm known for cheerful forecasts, went further and suggested $200 by year-end if the strait stays shut. With a global recession as a bonus prize.So there we have it. The world spent decades building an energy system with a single point of failure, handed Iran the keys to it, and is now surprised that the keys are being used.Genius, really.
 
^Yeah, that's retarded and not happening.
I tell ya what, when what happens happens, it's going to be everything all at once.
Like..within 3 hours and then maybe residuals for a little while after that.
They're going to deny them time to react.
Like how Israel hit Hezbollah the 1st day of the ceasefire, X5 in Iran.
 
Michael Yon has been saying for a long time that the destruction of the ME and the driving the planet into depression is on purpose:

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It’s Intentional. Which means it’s all going to get worse, not better.I’ve been connecting the dots on energy and the economy for 25+ years. What’s unfolding with the Strait of Hormuz isn’t incompetence - it looks deliberate. The clock is ticking on oil inventories, and the economic damage coming will be severe.If I’m right, we’re staring down a shock larger than the Great Depression. Get prepared, folks.

View: https://x.com/chrismartenson/status/2060809346510917687
 
Bibi in negotiations to step down in exchange for the courts to drop his prosecution. It allows him to avoid the embarrassment of defeat in the 27 Oct. 2026 election.
 
In a little over 4 months we'll know what happens to Bibi, and a month after that the US midterms. Europe has more problems with immigration than I can point to in one post.
The Demonic Empire is circling the drain....but these moronic fucks have yet to smell the coffee.

BUCKLE UP!
 
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