Democrat voters in Michigan are JUMPING SHIP, saying they will NOT vote for "Abdul" El Sayed — a socialist

You would be better off to get your "facts" from people who actually live here. Not only are we NOT "jumping ship," we are fired up! Finally a progressive candidate for a major office! Even my non-MI residents friends are posting about Dr. El-Sayed with enthusiasm -- and donations. Be afraid, MAGATs. Be very afraid. Those things you hate so much -- hope and change -- are coming.

I'll pass on getting "facts" from you, Fuck Face Fowl.
 
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I thought Trump might be gearing up for another "Stolen Election" but he was quoted the other day as saying Republicans are in trouble because and only because he won't be on the ballot. He can't actually believe that, or can he? It may be true there are some hardcore Trumpers he would bring out who wouldn't bother voting otherwise, but the polls make clear he himself is poison now for much of the electorate.

I doubt that you do any "thinking", based on your posts.
 
I'll pass on getting "facts" from you, Fuck Face Fowl.
She's a bullshitter,...always has been . Like Top says,...she has a STORY for every occasion. She lies so much she doesn't even know what to believe herself anymore. You know what Foul really is ? A lonely old woman living in the middle of a frozen hell in a place that has a lot in common with Hooterville. If anything we should pity her. Its so bad where she is at she cant even receive the care she needs for her eyes there and has to drive all the way to Wisconsin to get help. Green Bay to be precise.
 
I'm curious your opinion on why Democrats voted for Hillary and Biden instead of Bernie. Was it a case of they wanted to but felt the rest of the country wasn't ready for a Democratic Socialist and therefore they were essentially forced to vote for the mainstream Dem?

We hear Democrats who speak out against the DSA agenda. Do they not know universal medicine would help them too and fight against their own interests supporting more mainstream Democrats? Or is there another reason they don't support DSAs?
Me, because Bernie was too old. I thought age mattered. I also saw her as a very good candidate with the proper education and experience.Then, I felt it was way past time for a female president.
 
Me, because Bernie was too old. I thought age mattered. I also saw her as a very good candidate with the proper education and experience.Then, I felt it was way past time for a female president.

So, you consider a vagina a qualification.
 
Yep. And thank you. I appreciate learning new things including places.

As to “bullshit”, sorry, I call things as they are backed up by the metrics.

Sayed is a Marxist and a radical Islamist. He has notorious Muslim Supremacist Hasan Piker as chief advisor to his campaign.

Don't get me wrong, I'm thrilled this is going down - it hands Michigan to the GOP.

View: https://x.com/BonillaJL/status/2085209723628875997?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2085209723628875997%7Ctwgr%5E0a60e1f75a0f4ef4803dc09c86c95a32c4cee26b%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitchy.com%2Fsamj%2F2026%2F08%2F06%2Fabdul-el-sayed-dances-around-his-association-with-piker-n2430992
 
It's never sure, but they just handed a long time Senate seat to the GOP.


You say "it's never sure" and then "hey just handed a long time Senate seat to the GOP"?

Any numbers are estimates derived from name-matching against voter files, surveys, census-derived population data, and advocacy-group research.


Key estimates for Michigan​


  • CAIR (Council on American-Islamic Relations) and related work: Michigan ranks among the top states for registered Muslim voters. CAIR’s 2024 national count (using Aristotle data on distinct Muslim names, geography, etc.) put the U.S. total at over 2.2 million identifiable registered Muslim voters (plus a conservative extra 300,000+ for African American, White, and Latino Muslims not captured by name methods), with Michigan in the top tier.
  • Emgage (earlier data): Reported ~206,000 registered Muslim voters in Michigan in 2020 (up from ~162,000 in 2016).
  • Other recent citations:
    • One academic paper referenced an Emgage Michigan 2024 estimate of ~242,000 registered Muslim voters.
    • Some 2024–2026 analyses cite ~200,000+ or ~300,000 eligible Muslim (or Muslim + Arab American) voters in the state, noting concentration in the Detroit metro area (Dearborn, Hamtramck, etc.).
  • Population context (not the same as registered voters): The most commonly cited total Muslim population is around 240,000–242,000 (2020 U.S. Religion Census figures still widely referenced). Muslims as a group skew younger than the state average, so the voting-age (18+) share is lower than for the overall population—roughly in the 160,000–200,000 range for adults before applying registration rates.
  • Pew Research: In its 2023–24 Religious Landscape Study, about 1% of Michigan adults identified as Muslim (margin of error ±4.2 points).

Important caveats​


  • These are estimates, not official counts. Name-based methods miss converts and people without traditional Muslim names and can include non-Muslims with similar names; survey and self-identification approaches have their own sampling limits.
  • “Registered” vs. “eligible/voting-age” vs. “who actually vote” are different. Registration rates among eligible Muslim adults are high in recent ISPU polling (around 85% nationally among those legally eligible), and turnout has often been strong in mobilized communities, but it varies by election.
  • Michigan also has a large Arab American / MENA population (estimates of voting-age Arab Americans around 270,000 in some AAI figures), which overlaps heavily but is not identical with the Muslim population.

In short, the best available public estimates place registered Muslim voters in Michigan in the low-to-mid hundreds of thousands (commonly cited figures cluster around 200,000–300,000 depending on the source and year), concentrated enough to matter in close statewide races, but there is no precise official tally.


 
You say "it's never sure" and then "hey just handed a long time Senate seat to the GOP"?

Any numbers are estimates derived from name-matching against voter files, surveys, census-derived population data, and advocacy-group research.


Key estimates for Michigan​


  • CAIR (Council on American-Islamic Relations) and related work: Michigan ranks among the top states for registered Muslim voters. CAIR’s 2024 national count (using Aristotle data on distinct Muslim names, geography, etc.) put the U.S. total at over 2.2 million identifiable registered Muslim voters (plus a conservative extra 300,000+ for African American, White, and Latino Muslims not captured by name methods), with Michigan in the top tier.
  • Emgage (earlier data): Reported ~206,000 registered Muslim voters in Michigan in 2020 (up from ~162,000 in 2016).
  • Other recent citations:
    • One academic paper referenced an Emgage Michigan 2024 estimate of ~242,000 registered Muslim voters.
    • Some 2024–2026 analyses cite ~200,000+ or ~300,000 eligible Muslim (or Muslim + Arab American) voters in the state, noting concentration in the Detroit metro area (Dearborn, Hamtramck, etc.).
  • Population context (not the same as registered voters): The most commonly cited total Muslim population is around 240,000–242,000 (2020 U.S. Religion Census figures still widely referenced). Muslims as a group skew younger than the state average, so the voting-age (18+) share is lower than for the overall population—roughly in the 160,000–200,000 range for adults before applying registration rates.
  • Pew Research: In its 2023–24 Religious Landscape Study, about 1% of Michigan adults identified as Muslim (margin of error ±4.2 points).

Important caveats​


  • These are estimates, not official counts. Name-based methods miss converts and people without traditional Muslim names and can include non-Muslims with similar names; survey and self-identification approaches have their own sampling limits.
  • “Registered” vs. “eligible/voting-age” vs. “who actually vote” are different. Registration rates among eligible Muslim adults are high in recent ISPU polling (around 85% nationally among those legally eligible), and turnout has often been strong in mobilized communities, but it varies by election.
  • Michigan also has a large Arab American / MENA population (estimates of voting-age Arab Americans around 270,000 in some AAI figures), which overlaps heavily but is not identical with the Muslim population.

In short, the best available public estimates place registered Muslim voters in Michigan in the low-to-mid hundreds of thousands (commonly cited figures cluster around 200,000–300,000 depending on the source and year), concentrated enough to matter in close statewide races, but there is no precise official tally.



It was enough to get Sayed nominated - it isn't enough to elect him.


I put little faith in polls, but every poll has Rogers beating El-Sayed.

 
It was enough to get Sayed nominated - it isn't enough to elect him.

I wonder.

Expect El-Sayed to win a solid-to-overwhelming majority of Michigan Muslim voters (likely 70%+ in concentrated areas, potentially higher statewide among those who turn out), far more than a generic Democrat would in a normal cycle.

How the priorities map onto the candidates for Muslim voters​


  • Gaza / foreign policy / “staying out of foreign wars”: This is El-Sayed’s clearest advantage. His primary win was driven in part by strong support in Arab/Muslim-heavy areas (reports of ~94% among Arab voters in some breakdowns, with very high margins in Dearborn/Hamtramck precincts). Muslim and Arab American voters who were alienated by the Biden-Harris approach to Gaza in 2024 have rallied to him as a credible critic. Rogers, as a Republican aligned with the post-2024 Trump administration’s foreign-policy record, starts at a structural disadvantage here. Many of the same voters who split toward Trump or third parties in 2024 as a protest are likely to prefer El-Sayed’s stance over Rogers.

I put little faith in polls, but every poll has Rogers beating El-Sayed.

You're making contradictory statements again.
 
I wonder.

Expect El-Sayed to win a solid-to-overwhelming majority of Michigan Muslim voters (likely 70%+ in concentrated areas, potentially higher statewide among those who turn out), far more than a generic Democrat would in a normal cycle.

How the priorities map onto the candidates for Muslim voters​


  • Gaza / foreign policy / “staying out of foreign wars”: This is El-Sayed’s clearest advantage. His primary win was driven in part by strong support in Arab/Muslim-heavy areas (reports of ~94% among Arab voters in some breakdowns, with very high margins in Dearborn/Hamtramck precincts). Muslim and Arab American voters who were alienated by the Biden-Harris approach to Gaza in 2024 have rallied to him as a credible critic. Rogers, as a Republican aligned with the post-2024 Trump administration’s foreign-policy record, starts at a structural disadvantage here. Many of the same voters who split toward Trump or third parties in 2024 as a protest are likely to prefer El-Sayed’s stance over Rogers.



You're making contradictory statements again.
Every Muslim will vote for him, and it still isn't enough. As 2.3% of the population of Michigan, it falls vastly short of a needed majority. He will have the Communist vote as well. Mainstream democrats are already abandoning him. and with a virtually even split between democrats and republicans, that is the hand of doom for him.

It won't even be close. Sayed will be blown out.

The Communists thought Platner would oust Collins in Main - that's off the table now. Talarico has little to no chance in Texas.

Anything can happen, but there is no clear path to the Marxists taking the Senate. I predict, as I have for months, that the American will increase their majority in the Senate.

The house will remain tight. The Marxists might take it by one or two seats, or may remain the minority by one or two seats. Either way, it will remain nearly evenly divided.
 
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