I still put my 'over/ under ' money on Texas getting Paxton thru.
Hate to be that guy but Texas is such a low turnout State, that polling there only really works when the Republican is he favorite based on who plans to turnout.
What happens as it becomes crystal clear the dem might win, Republicans who really really did not want to get out and vote drag themselves up and do vote and you end up with a rare high turnout vote which ensures the Republicans win.
Again hope I'm wrong and the swing in Latinos is enough but I'm not betting on it yet