“The Trump administration has led the United States into war with Iran, assuming it could secure a quick victory with limited costs. They were wrong”
“There was no question whether the United States and Israel could inflict
major damage on the Iranian regime and its military. The war has certainly achieved discrete tactical successes aimed at weakening Tehran. Yet the central question has always been the strategic end such force is meant to achieve.”
“Here, the administration’s strategy is divorced from its ostensible aims. Among the many contradicting rationales floated by Washington to justify the attack, two have been most prominent: eliminating Iran’s nuclear program and effecting regime change in Tehran. Washington has achieved neither of these objectives, nor is it in a position to do so.”
“When the war ends, Iran will
retain the technological expertise and likely the materials necessary to sustain its nuclear program. War has made future negotiations far more difficult, if not impossible. Tehran may now see nuclear weapons as essential—an outcome Trump has perversely incentivized.”
“The other rationale was regime change. Trump not only failed to remove the regime, but he has likely made it more extreme.“
“The Trump administration has failed to accomplish the two principal aims of this war. Also the Trump administration
greatly underestimated Iran’s ability to
disrupt the global energy market so quickly, and these disruptions are likely to impact the market even after the war ends”
As I asked before, which is going to be the greater screw up in Trump’s legacy, the way he addressed Covid or his Iran fiasco?
