Deep Level Analysis - Trump is going to lose

BRUTALITOPS said:
what I am saying is what democrats are literally saying internally. Go read the NYT I posteddd
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I did read it of course, and recall Trump had to pull an inside straight in 2016 to get elected
He'd have to do much the same today ( you know the paths -wont waste your time)

Florida is key. Ohio is key, and NC is key -get those and we have to start looking to go after the blue wall

I dont think anyone can call it - i do like our enthusiasm, and the fact Biden is not much of an alternative
for anyone other then Dems ..we;ll see .. nice topic TY
 
BRUTALITOPS said:
The democratic propaganda machine really works on the sheep.

Biden is leading too many polls in too many swing states, and this year we have a much small number of undecided voters which means far less variance than in 2016 with regards to polling.

There are 4 things that still help trump:

1) low educated white voters registration is up astronomically in PA. I believe last I saw it was up 50%, and this group is notoriously unrepresented in polling data. Democrat registration is down in states like florida.

2) General silent trump voter. We dont listen or engage with fake news and thus sampling might be skewed

3) enthusiasm gap. People are more enthusiastic to vote FOR trump and it's clear by just looking at his rallies and how happy trump supporters are to support him.

4) democrats are retards and can't follow simple instructions. They will screw up mail in voting because they can't read or put their vote in the proper envelope. I saw a NYT article recently saying possibly millions of democrat votes may be deemed ineligible. This imo is the most likely scenario and is why democrats are starting to sow the seeds of trump "stealing the election." Trump's total of people that vote in person on election day will be around 60-65% to bidens 30%. The vast majority of biden votes will be by mail. You can see this now with the biden camp freaking out and urging the democrat pussies to go to the polls live now because they know their voters are too dumb to check a box on a piece of paper and mail it in. So this helps trump as well.

Trump still has a very viable chance to win. He's around 25% right now according to nate silver, which is still a very likely outcome. That said, it's not looking good. Thankfully us owning the supreme court for the next 20 years will slow down democrat hegemony. No regrets.

I would love to be wrong about the above though
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Thanks. I feel a lot better about Election Day now that I've read your prognosis. :thumbsup:
 
I got a poll survey call the other day and I actually played along out of curiosity. I have an unlisted land line yet the caller knew my name. Of course they get around to whom I'm voting for and I don't dare tell the truth so I said Kanye West. Further along the questions got weirder, obviously loaded. E.g., "Do you support Republican cronies blah, blah..." which is when I hung up.
Bet there's lots of others out there like me. Lots.
 
anonymoose said:
I got a poll survey call the other day and I actually played along out of curiosity. I have an unlisted land line yet the caller knew my name. Of course they get around to whom I'm voting for and I don't dare tell the truth so I said Kanye West. Further along the questions got weirder, obviously loaded. E.g., "Do you support Republican cronies blah, blah..." which is when I hung up.
Bet there's lots of others out there like me. Lots.
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Probably one of your kids pulling your leg. :)
 
Hawkeye10 said:
The Left has become very authoritarian...there will be none of this on their watch....it is being allowed right now because they are using it to drive the story "Look at what Trump has done, he must go!".

This is burning America down to burn Trump out, as I have been saying for almost four years is the main program.
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Did you type the Dems are authoritarian? Was that a typo? Trump and this admin have pushed authoritarianism like no admin in recent history. You cannot believe that.
 
BRUTALITOPS said:
The democratic propaganda machine really works on the sheep.

Biden is leading too many polls in too many swing states, and this year we have a much small number of undecided voters which means far less variance than in 2016 with regards to polling.

There are 4 things that still help trump:

1) low educated white voters registration is up astronomically in PA. I believe last I saw it was up 50%, and this group is notoriously unrepresented in polling data. Democrat registration is down in states like florida.

2) General silent trump voter. We dont listen or engage with fake news and thus sampling might be skewed

3) enthusiasm gap. People are more enthusiastic to vote FOR trump and it's clear by just looking at his rallies and how happy trump supporters are to support him.

4) democrats are retards and can't follow simple instructions. They will screw up mail in voting because they can't read or put their vote in the proper envelope. I saw a NYT article recently saying possibly millions of democrat votes may be deemed ineligible. This imo is the most likely scenario and is why democrats are starting to sow the seeds of trump "stealing the election." Trump's total of people that vote in person on election day will be around 60-65% to bidens 30%. The vast majority of biden votes will be by mail. You can see this now with the biden camp freaking out and urging the democrat pussies to go to the polls live now because they know their voters are too dumb to check a box on a piece of paper and mail it in. So this helps trump as well.

Trump still has a very viable chance to win. He's around 25% right now according to nate silver, which is still a very likely outcome. That said, it's not looking good. Thankfully us owning the supreme court for the next 20 years will slow down democrat hegemony. No regrets.

I would love to be wrong about the above though
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So that is how you trick yourself into believing the most dangerous president we ever had will win again. What party is taking over in a wholesale manner? Can you see the truth, even by accident? Your self-delusion makes you dangerous to yourself. Black is white, up is down.
 
Nordberg said:
So that is how you trick yourself into believing the most dangerous president we ever had will win again. What party is taking over in a wholesale manner? Can you see the truth, even by accident? Your self-delusion makes you dangerous to yourself. Black is white, up is down.
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"believing the most dangerous president will win again"

did you not read the title oof this thread and my overall thesis? how do you put your socks on in the morning? man you are fucking dumb
 
Nordberg said:
Did you type the Dems are authoritarian? Was that a typo? Trump and this admin have pushed authoritarianism like no admin in recent history. You cannot believe that.
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The Left has become exceptionally authoritarian, as you should know.

For instance he Maoist Mobs on the streets are for all intents and purposes leftist paramilitary outfits.
 
The debates can change everything. If Biden falls on his face, giving credence to Republican claims he's lost it, the polls could collapse overnight for him. If he holds his own, as those close to Biden think he will, Trump will only look the worse for all the badmouthing, and that will be that.
 
BRUTALITOPS said:
it's important more conservative posters on this site understand the stakes of this election and how bad of shape trump is actually in. Go find someone that isn't planning on voting and bring them to the polls. We need every voter to defeat communism.
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That playbook is played. Every Dem candidate in modern times has been portrayed as a socialist/communist.

And Biden is probably the most moderate candidate the Dems have had in modern times.
 
https://twitter.com/x/status/1310067113835589633

biden up 10 pts with likely voters

it's all over (pending crazy shit happening in the next weeks)

Presidential campaigns dont lose when they are up 10 points nationally with likely voters and commanding a majority 54% lead. In fact, I dont th ink a candidadte has ever lost an election with greater than 50% of the national vote. Never has happened ever.
 
BRUTALITOPS said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1310067113835589633

biden up 10 pts with likely voters

it's all over (pending crazy shit happening in the next weeks)

Presidential campaigns dont lose when they are up 10 points nationally with likely voters and commanding a majority 54% lead. In fact, I dont th ink a candidadte has ever lost an election with greater than 50% of the national vote. Never has happened ever.
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I see you working.
 
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