How do you know what their political leanings are?
Women have favored Democrats and men have favored Republicans in recent U.S. presidential elections. The gap is real and persistent (typically 8–12 points), but neither group is a monolith—race, age, education, and marital status often matter as much or more than gender alone.
2024 presidential vote (Harris vs. Trump)
Multiple large surveys (Pew validated-voter analysis, AP VoteCast, Edison/network exit polls) show a consistent pattern:
- Men: Trump 54–55%, Harris 43–47% (Trump +8 to +12)
- Women: Harris 51–53%, Trump 45–46% (Harris +6 to +8)
Pew’s June 2025 analysis of 2024 voting: men favored Trump by 12 points (55–43); women favored Harris by 7 points. Trump gained among men relative to 2020 while holding roughly steady among women.
The overall gender gap in 2024 was similar in size to 2020 and 2016—not historically unprecedented. Women have given a majority of their votes to the Democratic presidential nominee in every election since 1996.
Key subgroups in 2024
- White men: Trump ~60%, Harris ~37–40%
- White women: Trump ~53%, Harris ~45% (white women have voted majority Republican in most elections since 2000)
- Black women: Harris ~90–92%
- Black men: Harris ~77%+
- Hispanic/Latino men: Trump ~54–55% (notable rightward shift from 2020)
- Hispanic/Latino women: Harris ~60%
- Ages 18–29: Young men leaned Trump (often 49–57%); young women leaned Harris by a wide margin (~59–61%)
Younger voters showed a larger gender split than older ones. College-educated women were among Harris’s strongest groups; non-college men were among Trump’s.
Party identification (not just Election Day vote)
Pew data on registered voters / adults (including leaners):
- Men tilt Republican (around 52% GOP/lean GOP vs. 46% Dem in 2024 Pew data)
- Women tilt Democratic (around 51% Dem/lean Dem vs. 44% GOP)
More recent Pew NPORS figures (into 2026) show women at roughly 52% Democratic/lean Democratic and 38% Republican/lean Republican. The long-standing pattern holds: men more Republican, women more Democratic, with the gap fairly stable in recent years. Never-married women lean especially Democratic.
Context and caveats
The gap is driven heavily by women of color (especially Black women) voting Democratic in large majorities, while a majority of white women have voted Republican in recent presidential races. Age and education amplify it: the biggest recent movement has been among younger men toward Republicans and younger women remaining or becoming more Democratic.
For 2026 midterms, generic-ballot polling (e.g., Morning Consult) has shown a similar split—women Democratic by double digits, men Republican by a smaller margin. Exact numbers fluctuate with the news cycle.
Sources include Pew Research Center validated-voter studies, AP VoteCast, Edison Research exit polls, and Center for American Women and Politics (Rutgers) historical compilations. Different pollsters use slightly different methodologies, so point estimates vary by a few points, but the directional pattern is consistent across them.
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