ROTFLMFAO!!!!!! That's sorted by number of polls analyzed you DUMB MOTHER FUCKER. Jesus Christ, are you retarded? Seriously?
FAKE NEWS AP-NORC POLL OVERSAMPLES DEMS BY NEARLY 10%
- Thread starter Grokmaster
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ROTFLMFAO!!!!!! That's sorted by number of polls analyzed you DUMB MOTHER FUCKER. Jesus Christ, are you retarded? Seriously?
WHEN THE MAJORITY OF THE SAMPLE IS TAKEN FROM AN OVERWHELMINGLY LEFTIST AREA...NYC/DC/ETC. and ESCHEWS RED STATES, IT IS NOT A REPRESENTATIVE EXAMPLE.
THEY SAMPLE PRIMARILY DENSELY POPULATED, URBAN AREAS.
IS THEI REALLY THAT HARD?? OR ARE YOU JUST THAT GULLIBLY STUPID?
A SOLID "B".
The sample isn't taken from leftist areas. Next?
You lied. Again. Or are you going to claim you don't know how to read a chart. Maybe you should go with that.
YES IT IS MOST POLLS ARE.
No I DID NOT LIE. I DIDN'T REALIZE THE IDIOTS LISTED POLLSTERS IN RANDOM ORDER, LIKE BONEHEADS.
SHOW RASMUSSEN OVERSAMPLING REPUBLICANS, LIKE AP-NORC DID DEMOCRATS...
Link? Lying again.
The slant of the poll is right there if you knew how to read. Maybe work on that.
Rasmussen R +1.5, almost the worst Republican slant of any poll.
LINK PROVING THEY'RE NOT?
LYING AGAIN.
~ "
When considering online polling about political topics in particular, an important question to ask is whether Internet users are representative of the general population regarding their political interests and voting preferences. Research has shown this not to be the case (Zhang et al. 2009). In the 2008 U.S. presidential election, online platforms were extensively used by Obama campaigners, but Republicans, and McCain supporters in particular, were far less active on Twitter (Gayo-Avello 2011). Online political participation relates to some extent to liberal attitudes and higher socioeconomic status (Best and Krueger 2005), suggesting a biased sample when it comes to whose voices may be represented in such polls."~
A challenge of political polling more generally is social desirability bias. People may not respond to questions accurately if they believe that their answer is not socially desirable (Crowne and Marlowe 1960; Silver, Anderson, and Abramson 1986). During the 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign, the news media increasingly covered Trump’s candidacy in a negative light, often making derogatory remarks (Patterson 2016). Given such widespread adverse coverage, it is possible that some Trump supporters would be shy about expressing their support for his presidency. A study of college students’ voting preference conducted right before the 2016 U.S. presidential election found that those more prone to controlling their public appearances to impress others were less likely to say they support Trump when controlling for gender, political ideology, and party identification (Klar, Weber, and Krupnikov 2016). Another study looking at national as well as state-level data found evidence of “hidden Trump supporters” (Enns, Lagodny, and Schuldt 2017), namely, people who supported Trump but not necessarily expressed their opinions in a survey when asked about their vote intentions. Yet, conducting an extensive analysis of the performance of pre-election polls in 2016, a study found little evidence of social desirability bias, therefore suggesting the effect on the poll error to be relatively small (Kennedy et al. 2018).
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2378023118791080
~For tracking surveys such as the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, the automated technology ensures that every respondent hears exactly the same question, from the exact same voice, asked with the exact same inflection every single time.
All Rasmussen Reports' survey questions are digitally recorded and fed to a calling program that determines question order, branching options, and other factors. Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a process that ensures appropriate geographic representation. Typically, calls are placed from 5 pm to 9 pm local time during the week. Saturday calls are made from 11 am to 6 pm local time and Sunday calls from 1 pm to 9 pm local time.
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/about_us/methodology
SHOW RASMUSSEN OVERSAMPLING REPUBLICANS.
I JUST DID YOU STUPID FUCK. The bias in a poll indicates that it consistently overstated Republican support by an average of 1.5%. I'm sorry you are so fucking stupid you can't read a chart.
THE WHICH IS FAR LESS THAN THE NEARLY 10% AP-NORC OVERSAMPLED DEMOCRATS, IN A POLL CONDUCTED AT THE RADICALLY LEFTIST UNIVERSITY of CHICAGO.
CHECKMATE.
reagansghost
eternal
Biden's stellar poll numbers are driving the billies nuts........sweet!
HARDLY. JUST ANOTHER PROVABLY BIASED FAKE NEWS POLL....
Joe Capitalist
Racism is a disease
I suspect that most Republicans who say Trump won the 2020 election actually don't believe that. They're just saying it out of frustration or to trigger the left. Pretty lame excuses but typical for TrumpTards. I mean, what reasonable person would believe something so outrageous with zero proof or evidence?
Why Did Republicans Outperform The Polls Again?
If Democrats were more likely than Republicans to stay at home during the pandemic, they would more likely be available to take surveys. Of course, it’s not necessarily an either-or situation. Both of these theories could be true (not to mention a whole host of other explanations), but it’s also possible that something bigger is at play here since the polls misfired in similar ways in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections: Pollsters may be systematically missing certain types of Republican support.
This is a relatively new phenomenon, but pollsters have increasingly found evidence of partisan nonresponse — that is, particular types of Republicans are just less likely to take surveys, so these voters’ opinions are not reflected in survey data. This was especially relevant in understanding Trump’s support, too, as many of these voters broke for him and other Republicans in 2020.
But why are some Republican voters more reluctant to take surveys? As the director of polling at the Cato Institute, I, as well as other pollsters, am studying this and currently have two working theories for why this is happening. First, Republicans are becoming more distrustful of institutions and society, and that may be extending to how they feel about pollsters. Second, suburban Republican college graduates are more likely to fear professional sanction for their views and are therefore self-censoring more, including in surveys. Now, of course, understanding who isn’t responding to a survey is inherently difficult because … well, they aren’t taking the survey, and at this point, we don’t know whether these two things are happening independently or are part of the same phenomenon. However, it indicates to me that some of the polling error we saw in 2020 is part of a long-standing issue that isn’t unique just to Trump.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-did-republicans-outperform-the-polls-again-two-theories/
If Democrats were more likely than Republicans to stay at home during the pandemic, they would more likely be available to take surveys. Of course, it’s not necessarily an either-or situation. Both of these theories could be true (not to mention a whole host of other explanations), but it’s also possible that something bigger is at play here since the polls misfired in similar ways in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections: Pollsters may be systematically missing certain types of Republican support.
This is a relatively new phenomenon, but pollsters have increasingly found evidence of partisan nonresponse — that is, particular types of Republicans are just less likely to take surveys, so these voters’ opinions are not reflected in survey data. This was especially relevant in understanding Trump’s support, too, as many of these voters broke for him and other Republicans in 2020.
But why are some Republican voters more reluctant to take surveys? As the director of polling at the Cato Institute, I, as well as other pollsters, am studying this and currently have two working theories for why this is happening. First, Republicans are becoming more distrustful of institutions and society, and that may be extending to how they feel about pollsters. Second, suburban Republican college graduates are more likely to fear professional sanction for their views and are therefore self-censoring more, including in surveys. Now, of course, understanding who isn’t responding to a survey is inherently difficult because … well, they aren’t taking the survey, and at this point, we don’t know whether these two things are happening independently or are part of the same phenomenon. However, it indicates to me that some of the polling error we saw in 2020 is part of a long-standing issue that isn’t unique just to Trump.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-did-republicans-outperform-the-polls-again-two-theories/
Nope. They are not oversampling Democrats. You made that up. You have zero evidence of that. None. When you do, get back to me. You are just too stupid to continue to engage.
CATO. LOL. Is this a thing? It might be. But that isn't the fault of the pollsters. Polls are accurate, and they are constantly changing their methodologies. Pollsters assess public opinion with a laser, you use a rusty scimitar.
HORSE SHIT. YOU CANNOT BACKUP YOUR BULLSHIT, BUT INSTEAD PROVED MY POINT, THAT RASMUSSEN IS LESS-BIASED THAN THE AP-NORC POLL I CITED.
GOOD TIME FOR YOU TO RUN AWAY, LITTLE DOGGIE...
OBVIOUSLY NOT. THE ARTICLE IS 538. POLLSTERS ARE OVERWHEMINLGY TIED TO LEFTIST MEDIA GROUPS OR UNIVERSITIES, AS THEIR BIAS SHOWS.