The data scientist who called Trump’s 2024 win now gives Democrats a 78% shot at the Senat

[Guno צְבִי]

Miller began posting what he calls "NowCasts" on October 22, but he started applying his methodology on September 19. And since then, the trend toward a Democrat sweep has intensified. On September 19, Miller's forecast gave the Republicans an almost 36% chance of retaining control of the upper chamber. But as of 11:30 pm on October 23, that probability had fallen over 10 points to just 22.5%. Look at the ticker now and you'll see that Democrats lead the odds in 18 of the 35 races to 17 for the Republicans. The Dems are looking strong in North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Maine, while holding firm seats in Michigan (68.6%), Georgia (94.9%).

If the current odds in all those states hold, the Democrats would win 18 out of 35 races and shift the majority from 53-47 for the Republicans to 52-48 for the Democrats.

The data scientist who called Trump’s 2024 win now gives Democrats a 78% shot at the Senate

Northwestern’s Thomas Miller finds Democrats leading in 18 of 35 races, and the Trump effect hurting the GOP across the board.

www.yahoo.com

 

[Nomad]

I'll believe it if/when I see it.

Hoping he's right.

 

[evince]

We have to overwhelm them with the votes of the people

 

[Hawkeye10]

Robert Barnes makes pretty much the same call.....also says that the D win will extend to the states.

He also says that there are likely already enough votes in the Senate to Dump Trump, which will get more so with this election......if the people who run America want to do a switch (they almost certainly will) Congress will not be a problem.