Zogby: ‘Poor performances’ of Democrats boost Trump’s approval to 51%, up with blacks and Hispanics
by Paul Bedard
| August 15, 2019 11:47 AM
President Trump’s approval rating has edged up, driven by long-term confidence in his economy and boosted by the lackluster performances of the two dozen Democrats trying to beat him in the 2020 election, according to the latest Zogby Analytics poll.
The contrarian survey, provided exclusively to Secrets, pushes back on some other recent polls showing a surge in Trump’s disapproval rating.
Namely, it found that recent issues portrayed as trouble for Trump haven’t hurt him and that he is growing in support among Africans Americans, Hispanics, independents, and younger voters.
“President Trump's job approval has continued to rise the last few months,” said pollster Jonathan Zogby in his analysis of likely voters.
“It's true Trump is riding high on positive economic news,” he said.
But, he added, “It's also very plausible he is benefiting from poor performances by the Democratic presidential candidates who have continued to move very far to the left with their policies. The Democrats have floated nationalizing healthcare, strict gun control, ‘The Green New Deal,’ and raising taxes, all which are very unpopular in polling on a national level and in key battleground states.”
Overall, Trump’s approval rating is 51%, and disapproval 47%. Among those who approve, 27% said “strongly” and 24% “somewhat approve.” The largest group, however, was those who “strongly disapprove,” at a sky high 37%. Another 10% said that they “somewhat disapprove.”
As the country continues to divide over the 2020 race and Trump’s policies and agenda, the president is benefiting from a very strong GOP approval rating, said Zogby, a sign that he has not lost his base. And he’s gaining among independents.
“An overwhelming number of Republicans approved (86% approve/13% disapprove), while independents were more balanced in their impression of Trump's job performance (45% approve/50% disapprove). The president's numbers continue to improve with independents, which a few months ago his approval rating was in the 30's,” said the analysis.
And he is picking up support among two groups that the media has pitted against the president: blacks and Hispanics. Here’s what Zogby wrote in his analysis:
“Race also played a factor in Trump's job approval rating. Hispanics, this time around, were much more likely to approve of his job performance (49% approve/51% disapprove), while the president also saw his numbers jump with African Americans. This was his second straight poll with over a quarter support from African Americans (28% approve/70% disapprove). If Trump wins half of Hispanics and a quarter of African Americans in 2020, Democrats will be in trouble!”
Zogby said that older millennial voters approve of Trump, and a growing number of younger voters too.
However, he continues to have trouble with suburban women, a pocket the media has described as his albatross. “The one important group Trump continues to see his support wane was with suburban women (38% approve/57% disapprove). This is an important group for him if he is going to win again in the ‘blue wall’ states he won in 2016. The blow of losing support from suburban women was blunted with his gains with urban women--46% approve/53% disapprove and urban men (56% approve/43% disapprove),” said Zogby.
His bottom line in his analysis:
Trump's job approval rating is tied for the highest we have on record.
His numbers are being driven by record low unemployment and an inflated stock market, but a potential recession looms.
Besides a good economy, Trump's good approval rating is being driven by a surge in popularity among voters living in the South and Central regions, independents, millennials, suburban men, urban men, and older voters. Trump's approval rating has improved with minorities: 28% of African Americans and 49% of Hispanics at least somewhat approve of the president. Both are very good numbers, historically, for Trump.
Trump's support has spiked among consumers, mainly NASCAR fans and weekly Walmart and Amazon shoppers. A solid majority of each group gives the president a positive job rating.
Trump has recently seen a spike in support among large and small city voters — more than half of each group approves of the president. Trump is also polling well among urban women, but has seen his support from suburban women take a beating.
Religious voters are key to Trump winning in 2020. They make up a big part of the electorate and have a big presence in battleground states. Right now the president is polling very well with Catholics, Protestants, and evangelicals.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/...rumps-approval-to-51-up-with-blacks-hispanics
https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/896...lly-nearly-half-of-hispanics-approve-of-trump
by Paul Bedard
| August 15, 2019 11:47 AM
President Trump’s approval rating has edged up, driven by long-term confidence in his economy and boosted by the lackluster performances of the two dozen Democrats trying to beat him in the 2020 election, according to the latest Zogby Analytics poll.
The contrarian survey, provided exclusively to Secrets, pushes back on some other recent polls showing a surge in Trump’s disapproval rating.
Namely, it found that recent issues portrayed as trouble for Trump haven’t hurt him and that he is growing in support among Africans Americans, Hispanics, independents, and younger voters.
“President Trump's job approval has continued to rise the last few months,” said pollster Jonathan Zogby in his analysis of likely voters.
“It's true Trump is riding high on positive economic news,” he said.
But, he added, “It's also very plausible he is benefiting from poor performances by the Democratic presidential candidates who have continued to move very far to the left with their policies. The Democrats have floated nationalizing healthcare, strict gun control, ‘The Green New Deal,’ and raising taxes, all which are very unpopular in polling on a national level and in key battleground states.”
Overall, Trump’s approval rating is 51%, and disapproval 47%. Among those who approve, 27% said “strongly” and 24% “somewhat approve.” The largest group, however, was those who “strongly disapprove,” at a sky high 37%. Another 10% said that they “somewhat disapprove.”
As the country continues to divide over the 2020 race and Trump’s policies and agenda, the president is benefiting from a very strong GOP approval rating, said Zogby, a sign that he has not lost his base. And he’s gaining among independents.
“An overwhelming number of Republicans approved (86% approve/13% disapprove), while independents were more balanced in their impression of Trump's job performance (45% approve/50% disapprove). The president's numbers continue to improve with independents, which a few months ago his approval rating was in the 30's,” said the analysis.
And he is picking up support among two groups that the media has pitted against the president: blacks and Hispanics. Here’s what Zogby wrote in his analysis:
“Race also played a factor in Trump's job approval rating. Hispanics, this time around, were much more likely to approve of his job performance (49% approve/51% disapprove), while the president also saw his numbers jump with African Americans. This was his second straight poll with over a quarter support from African Americans (28% approve/70% disapprove). If Trump wins half of Hispanics and a quarter of African Americans in 2020, Democrats will be in trouble!”
Zogby said that older millennial voters approve of Trump, and a growing number of younger voters too.
However, he continues to have trouble with suburban women, a pocket the media has described as his albatross. “The one important group Trump continues to see his support wane was with suburban women (38% approve/57% disapprove). This is an important group for him if he is going to win again in the ‘blue wall’ states he won in 2016. The blow of losing support from suburban women was blunted with his gains with urban women--46% approve/53% disapprove and urban men (56% approve/43% disapprove),” said Zogby.
His bottom line in his analysis:
Trump's job approval rating is tied for the highest we have on record.
His numbers are being driven by record low unemployment and an inflated stock market, but a potential recession looms.
Besides a good economy, Trump's good approval rating is being driven by a surge in popularity among voters living in the South and Central regions, independents, millennials, suburban men, urban men, and older voters. Trump's approval rating has improved with minorities: 28% of African Americans and 49% of Hispanics at least somewhat approve of the president. Both are very good numbers, historically, for Trump.
Trump's support has spiked among consumers, mainly NASCAR fans and weekly Walmart and Amazon shoppers. A solid majority of each group gives the president a positive job rating.
Trump has recently seen a spike in support among large and small city voters — more than half of each group approves of the president. Trump is also polling well among urban women, but has seen his support from suburban women take a beating.
Religious voters are key to Trump winning in 2020. They make up a big part of the electorate and have a big presence in battleground states. Right now the president is polling very well with Catholics, Protestants, and evangelicals.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/...rumps-approval-to-51-up-with-blacks-hispanics
https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/896...lly-nearly-half-of-hispanics-approve-of-trump
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