Iran War Watch

Listening to Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar on Dialog Works say that he is confident that the Empire goes nuclear in Iran because it is either that or admit defeat.
 
Col Wilkerson says on Judge Nap that the American military will refuse orders to nuke Iran, but the Zionist colony will do it. Others have been talking about the Zionists being willing to give up on the Colony and the ME with plans to relocate operations to Argentina.
 
Pepe Escobar is reporting that the Empire tried to spread billions of dollars to buy off the top of the IRGC to surrender the country Venezuela model....and got turned down. I now understand why the Iranians have been saying for months "We are not Venezuela".
 

David Pyne
@AmericaFirstCon


It looks like Trump may have sent CIA Director John Ratcliffe to Moscow. Might he be providing the Kremlin with a new US peace proposal to end the war in Ukraine in exchange for helping to persuade Iranian leaders to end the Iran War? It is notable that Trump has never sent any cabinet officials to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin other than the Anchorage Summit since returning to the White House over nineteen months ago. Previously, he has only sent low to medium level US officials like US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff. If indeed he has sent Ratcliffe to meet with Putin this would be the highest level US diplomatic overage to Russia's president since August. If so, it shows how desperate Trump has become in begging international leaders to help extricate him from the humiliating quagmire he created with his unprovoked war on Iran.
 
Pepe Escobar

@RealPepeEscobar


WHAT REALLY HAPPENED IN ISLAMABADTrump called Munir, begging him to reopen a channel to Iran.Munir carried the channel into Tehran.Iran's top leadership engaged.Pakistan and Iran: "Significant progress" achieved.Iran: diplomatic achievements will become visible soon.Munir and Naqvi back in Islamabad. Naqvi talked to the US acting Ambassador. Our source: the substance is not an Iranian capitulation; it's a mechanism for resurrecting the dead cat MoU. I break it all down on the latest Transition Protocol, and on a column out tomorrow.
 
Daily Iran News
@DailyIranNews


BREAKING: The US has proposed cancelling the new "Operation Economic Outcast," lifting all sanctions, and ending the US blockade in exchange for Iran opening the Strait of Hormuz and stopping all attacks by its proxies, per Al Arabiya citing a senior source on a new separate offer conveyed by Pakistan.Iran's conditions, however, remain unchanged: $300 billion in US compensation, complete lifting of all US sanctions, release of all Iranian frozen assets ($100-123 billion), end of the US naval blockade, US troop withdrawal from the entire region, and a comprehensive regional ceasefire including in Lebanon and Gaza.

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Fantasy....Iran does not have proxies.....it has allies......they do what they want to do.
 





The Hormuz Letter

@HormuzLetter



BREAKING: Russian officials have briefed Iran that the CIA Director Ratcliffe's Moscow visit delivered a message with the US asking Moscow to press Iran into reopening the Strait of Hormuz, warning that Russian entities would otherwise face designations under Operation Economic Outcast. Russia declined, and told Iran the threatened measures were of limited consequence, according to two senior Iranian sources with knowledge of the briefing.The message also warned that Russian banks, traders and shipping entities tied to Iranian oil, gold and aviation will be sanctioned under the operation unless Moscow moves to close those channels.
 

The Hormuz Letter

@HormuzLetter



BREAKING: JPMorgan warns a large-scale global food supply crisis could hit within the next year, forecasting global food inflation to nearly double from 2.8% now to 5% by early 2027, per JPMorgan Global Research.The direct driver is fertilizer, 1/3 of the world's nitrogen fertilizer moves through the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has kept shut since February. Unlike oil, there’s no strategic reserve for fertilizer and nothing to release.Nitrogen fertilizer goes into about half of all crops grown globally.
 





Trita Parsi

@tparsi


It's quite stunning really. Only a week ago, Scott Bessent said sanctions would make military action unnecessary.6 days later, the US bombed Iran again. And now, Axios reveals that all along, the Pentagon was preparing a plan for “periodic” bombings of Iran to prevent it from suppressing traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.What does this tell us? First, the administration is apparently giving up on solving the issue militarily, economically, or diplomatically. Instead, permanent warfare is needed to manage the problem.Make no mistake - to periodically bomb a country is to fight a forever war.In fact, a US official is even quoted by Axios calling it “mow the lawn.” This is the Israeli strategy of never making peace, never winning the war, but just keep bombing the countries surrounding it to ensure they never gain the capacity to deter Israel. It’s what Israel has been doing in Gaza and Lebanon for years.During previous administrations, Israel tried to sell war with Iran to the US and conceded that military strikes would not knock out Iran’s nuclear program, but would require “periodic” return to kinetic action to keep the program in check. The US rejected the plan precisely because it didn’t want to be in a permanent state of war with Iran. Now, Trump’s Secretary of War is pushing for it.
 





Brett Erickson

@BrettErickson28


President Trump's ONLY hope of "winning" the Iran War runs through the Iranian people. To bring about mass uprisings that topple to current government.Yet TWICE today, President Trump has made threats to wipe out the entire country. That includes all of the innocent civilians he needs to bring to Trump's side."If it goes a third time, they're going to be totally wiped out as a country""That is waiting in the wings and, when it is over, there will be very little left of the Islamic Republic of Iran!"This does NOT change the calculus of the Iranian leadership. They have no intention of cowering to Trump's threats.But the Iranian PEOPLE? The very people that constitute the only viable way in which Trump can secure victory?... Why would they take Trump's side at this point? He CLEARLY does not care about them or their lives one bit.
 
Reza Nasri

@RezaNasri1


Trump is governing from an alternative reality. He has built a version of this war that exists nowhere outside his own statements, and he is trying to make American policy fit inside it. In that version, Iran has lost control of the Strait of Hormuz. Its ability to respond militarily has been destroyed. What remains is a failed state waiting to be presented with terms.Then reality intervenes. The Strait is not open on American terms. Iran responds where and when it chooses. And each time events contradict the story coming out of Washington, the story is never revised. The rhetoric grows louder and more contradictory, the measures more absurd and ill-conceived, while Trump appears increasingly confused by the reality unfolding before him.The past few months have followed the same pattern. Strikes. Then insinuations that the United States has won the war. Then a sanctions campaign billed as unprecedented and historic: “ECONOMIC D-DAY.” Then threats to annihilate Iran, accompanied by AI-generated videos of Kharg Island in flames, posted on the president’s own social media account. Then American officials sent out to say Washington is ready to talk. Then the claim that the Strait of Hormuz is now American territory. Then back to war. More threats. Then the declaration that a deal is out of the question.The cycle continues, with no end in sight.Truth is, this is not a strategy moving through phases. There's no policy. It is one man desperately cycling through every instrument at his disposal because he cannot bring himself to acknowledge the obvious: There is no military solution to this.Months of bombardment have failed to produce any of the political outcomes Washington sought. No capitulation. No corridor. No results whatsoever. Sanctions will not produce them either. Iran has been under maximum pressure since 2018, and every additional round has been met by Iran expanding its capabilities rather than conceding. Calling another campaign "historic" does not change what it is: the same instrument, applied with greater intensity, after years of diminishing returns.The least costly option for the United States is also the simplest. It's called a reality check.End the war permanently. Return to the memorandum signed in Islamabad, which Washington abandoned within weeks. Deal with Iran as it actually exists, not the Iran that exists in a Truth Social post.Wars are not won by rewriting reality. Reality eventually rewrites the war.
 
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